Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.134007 0.155517 0.179405 0.207907 0.241005 0.278247 0.323364
2025-04-20 0.103336 0.132885 0.169218 0.217225 0.279076 0.356208 0.459917
2025-04-27 0.086625 0.119563 0.163015 0.224626 0.309933 0.424190 0.589397
2025-05-04 0.075011 0.109666 0.158076 0.230781 0.337551 0.489155 0.721821
2025-05-11 0.065179 0.100140 0.151448 0.232438 0.357586 0.544507 0.846603
2025-05-18 0.056625 0.090929 0.143533 0.230341 0.370719 0.590090 0.961444
2025-05-25 0.048728 0.081449 0.133668 0.223388 0.374606 0.620853 1.055694
2025-06-01 0.044717 0.077592 0.132045 0.229199 0.399404 0.687463 1.216684
2025-06-08 0.040453 0.072676 0.127929 0.230035 0.415484 0.740832 1.361091
2025-06-15 0.037323 0.069288 0.125921 0.234107 0.437415 0.806440 1.535067
2025-06-22 0.033313 0.063778 0.119430 0.229109 0.441935 0.840801 1.654779
2025-06-29 0.030125 0.059391 0.114438 0.226204 0.449823 0.881936 1.792071
2025-07-06 0.027620 0.056078 0.111201 0.226515 0.464448 0.938592 1.969544
2025-07-13 0.026446 0.055276 0.112758 0.236614 0.500065 1.041286 2.255759
2025-07-20 0.025158 0.054066 0.113327 0.244684 0.532374 1.140925 2.548492
2025-07-27 0.023853 0.052651 0.113283 0.251397 0.562518 1.239452 2.851654
2025-08-03 0.022243 0.050372 0.111130 0.253203 0.582013 1.317076 3.117666
2025-08-10 0.020468 0.047508 0.107369 0.250916 0.591894 1.374309 3.343582
2025-08-17 0.018486 0.043936 0.101619 0.243334 0.588483 1.400587 3.498640
2025-08-24 0.017670 0.042995 0.101763 0.249671 0.619005 1.510051 3.872888
2025-08-31 0.016564 0.041228 0.099773 0.250583 0.636328 1.589717 4.182327
2025-09-07 0.015767 0.040125 0.099238 0.255023 0.663001 1.695515 4.573571
2025-09-14 0.014475 0.037626 0.095011 0.249572 0.663573 1.735347 4.794386